RCL (Royal Caribbean Group) Altman Z-Score: 2.44 (As of Jun. 27, 2026) — 53% Above Median


RCL Royal Caribbean Group RCL
81 GF Score
Price $318.13
GF Value $247.23
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Royal Caribbean Group Altman Z-Score?

Royal Caribbean Group RCL -1.40% 81 Altman Z-Score is 2.44 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 53% above its 10-year median of 1.60. GuruFocus rates RCL with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $247.23 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 840 Travel & Leisure companies, Royal Caribbean Group ranks better than 58.57% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.44 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Royal Caribbean Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.44, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Royal Caribbean Group is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

RCL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.34   Med: 1.6   Max: 2.53
Current: 2.44

During the past 13 years, Royal Caribbean Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.53. The lowest was -0.34. And the median was 1.60.


Royal Caribbean Group  (NYSE:RCL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Royal Caribbean Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Royal Caribbean Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Royal Caribbean Group Altman Z-Score Chart

Royal Caribbean Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.05 0.17 1.09 1.95 2.22

Royal Caribbean Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.85 2.52 2.53 2.22 2.23

RCL vs ABNB, VIK, CCL: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Royal Caribbean Group Altman Z-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.


RCL
81GF Score
Royal Caribbean Group RCL
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Royal Caribbean Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.211+1.4*0.1538+3.3*0.1342+0.6*2.6694+1.0*0.4379
=2.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was $41,990 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,204 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,065 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $6,460 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 976 + 846 + 1579 + 1215 = $4,616 Mil.
Interest Expense was -278 + -267 + -248 + -228 = $-1,021 Mil.
Revenue was 4452 + 4258 + 5139 + 4538 = $18,387 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $85,321 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $31,962 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2204 - 11065)/41990
=-0.211

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=6460/41990
=0.1538

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(4616 - -1021)/41990
=0.1342

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=85320.868/31962
=2.6694

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=18387/41990
=0.4379

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Royal Caribbean Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.44 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.44 mean?
Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.44 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Royal Caribbean Group and its competitors. This is 53% above median its historical median of 1.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Royal Caribbean Group ranks #348 out of 840 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 41.4%.
Is Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
Royal Caribbean Group's current Altman Z-Score of 2.44 is 53% above median its 10-year median of 1.60. The Travel & Leisure industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.99. Royal Caribbean Group's value of 2.44 is 22.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Royal Caribbean Group ranks #348 out of 840 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Royal Caribbean Group has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Royal Caribbean Group's Altman Z-Score compare to ABNB and VIK?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Royal Caribbean Group ranks #348 out of 840 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Royal Caribbean Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.99. Royal Caribbean Group's value of 2.44 is 22.6% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 1.60 vs. the industry median of 1.99, Royal Caribbean Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Travel & Leisure companies is 1.99, based on 840 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Royal Caribbean Group's current Altman Z-Score of 2.44 is 22.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Royal Caribbean Group and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.99 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Royal Caribbean Group's current Altman Z-Score is 2.44, which is 53% above median its own 10-year median of 1.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Royal Caribbean Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $247.23, compared to a current price of $318.13 — trading 28.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.44, which is 53% above median its 10-year median of 1.60 and 22.6% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 1.99. Royal Caribbean Group's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Royal Caribbean Group (RCL), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.44 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Royal Caribbean Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $318.13 is trading 28.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $247.23. GuruFocus considers Royal Caribbean Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for RCL:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.44 (53% above median its 10-year median of 1.60)
  • GF Value™: $247.23 vs. price of $318.13 (28.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 22.6% above the Travel & Leisure median (#348 of 840)

No single metric tells the full story. See the RCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Royal Caribbean Group Business Description

Address 1050 Caribbean Way, Miami, FL, USA, 33132
Royal Caribbean is the world's second-largest cruise company by revenues, operating 69 ships across five global and partner brands in the cruise vacation industry. Brands the company operates include Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea. The company also has a 50% investment in a joint venture that operates TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises. The selection of brands in the portfolio allows Royal to compete on the basis of innovation, quality of ships and service, variety of itineraries, choice of destinations, and price. The company completed the divestiture of its Azamara brand in 2021, plans to launch its new Celebrity River Cruise brand in 2027, and is set to operate eight private destination locations by 2028.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for RCL

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$318.13
Price
$247.23
GF Value